across777 said:
Thanks for the plays railbird.
Mirza is now +216 at pinny.
Mirza to win 2-1 is +505
Mirza to win 2-0 is +540
If you want to be Mirza to win, wouldn't you be better off to just bet 2-0 AND 2-1? If she wins, wouldn't she have to win either 2-0 or 2-1? I'm new to wagering on tennis so maybe I'm missing something.
1 unit on Mirza ML wins 2.16 units
1 unit on Mirza 2-1 wins 5.05 units
1 unit on Mirza 2-0 wins 5.40 units
If Sania wins 2-1, you win a net 4.05 units (5.05 from the win minus the 1 unit from the Mirza 2-0 bet, odds of +202.5). If Sania wins 2-0, you win a net of 4.40 units (Odds of +220)
If I were to bet this, I'd rather have the +216 ML odds than the two set bet odds, you can win an extra .04 units if she wins 2-0, but you can lose .175 units of potential profit if she happens to eke it out in 3 sets.
:toast: